Categories
Uncategorized

Bloomberg: Less Than Zero

Negative Interest Rates

Less Than Zero

 

Imagine a bank that pays negative interest. In this upside-down world, borrowers get paid and savers penalized. Crazy as it sounds, several of Europe’s central banks cut key interest rates below zero in 2014, and now Japan has followed. By mid-2016, some 500 million people in a quarter of the world economy were living with rates in the red. Unthinkable before the 2008 financial crisis, the idea is to jolt lending, spur inflation and reinvigorate the economy after other options have been exhausted. It’s an unorthodox move that hasdistorted financial markets and triggered complaints that the strategy is backfiring. Negative rates will either mark the start of a new era for the world’s central banks, or finally expose the limit of their powers.

http://www.bloomberg.com/quicktake/negative-interest-rates

Categories
Uncategorized

BBC: Why Use Negative Interest Rates

Screen Shot 2016-07-18 at 11.36.09 AM

Interest rates are now negative, below zero, for a growing number of borrowers, mainly in the financial markets. It means in effect they are being paid to borrow someone else’s money. So what on earth is going on?

Perhaps the first thing worth stating is that negative interest rates are probably not coming to a High Street near you in the near future.

Screen Shot 2016-07-18 at 11.33.52 AM

http://www.bbc.com/news/business-32284393

 

Categories
Uncategorized

Keynes’ Biographer: The False Promise of Negative Interest Rates

The False Promise of Negative Interest Rates 

by Robert Skidelsky

LONDON – As a biographer and aficionado of John Maynard Keynes, I am sometimes asked: “What would Keynes think about negative interest rates?”

It’s a good question, one that recalls a passage in Keynes’s General Theory in which he notes that if the government can’t think of anything more sensible to do to cure unemployment (say, building houses), burying bottles filled with bank notes and digging them up again would be better than nothing. He probably would have said the same about negative interest rates: a desperate measure by governments that can think of nothing else to do.

https://goo.gl/1qjmjY

Categories
Uncategorized

Negative Interest Rates: A Tax in Sheeps Clothing (St. Louis Fed)

 

By Christopher J. Waller, Executive Vice President and Director of Research

If you pick up any principles of economics textbook, there will typically be a discussion of taxes and tax incidence. Tax incidence describes who bears the burden of a tax. For example, suppose the government levies a payroll tax on a firm. The burden of the tax may be borne by the firm, the workers or the firm’s customers.

How can this be if the firm is responsible for paying the tax? The firm may bear the burden of the tax by accepting lower after-tax profits. However, the firm can pass the tax onto its workers by paying them lower wages or hiring fewer workers. The firm can also pass the tax onto its customers by charging them a higher price for the firm’s output. In general, all parties bear some portion of the tax.

https://www.stlouisfed.org/on-the-economy/2016/may/negative-interest-rates-tax-sheep-clothing

Categories
Uncategorized

NIRP: How Central Banks Inverted the World

 

Murray Rothbard would be turning in his grave. The American economist wrote in his 1983 book ‘The Mystery of Banking‘ that central bank intervention was often disastrous. Whether the latest round of stimulus, which has generated a slew of negative rates globally, will end badly is yet to be seen, but it’s already turned the most basic investment concepts on their head.

http://www.bloomberg.com/gadfly/articles/2016-07-14/how-central-banks-inverted-the-world

Categories
Uncategorized

NIRP: A Third of World’s Gov’t Bonds ($13 Trillion) Are Negative

 

MUMBAI: For the first time ever, nearly $13 trillion worth of government bonds worldwide — representing more than a third of all government debt — have negative interest rates. Returns or yields on bonds drop as their prices rise following an increase in demand. Demand for bonds and gold has soared as central banks kept interest rates down and investors rushed to safe haven investments following Brexit, or UK’s vote to leave the European Union.

Screen Shot 2016-07-08 at 10.11.55 PM

http://goo.gl/RbXo84

Categories
Uncategorized

June 22, 2016: Negative Interest Rates In the News

WSJ:  Janet Yellen Invokes Fed’s Legal Right to Use Negative Interest Rates

 

 

 

Categories
Uncategorized

News Max: The Negative Interest Rate Bomb

Tick tock?

We’ve all had the experience of getting together with some of our buddies and, over a couple of beers, crafting a brilliant solution to one of the world’s problems. Sure it’s a crazy idea, but it just might work!  Screen Shot 2016-06-15 at 11.29.07 PM

Yet in the harsh light of day, it’s likely you realized your ingenious plan had some glaring downsides you’d failed to consider. Well, no harm done, right? It’s all just talk.

R

 

This means when central banks get together and come up with a crazy idea, they can implement it with little to no oversight. The Federal Reserve doesn’t need to get permission from Congress or the president, and this lack of answerability is much the same in most industrialized countries. Unfortunately, this largely unchecked power also doesn’t tend to attract much notice because a headline like “Central Banks Pursuing Irrational Policies” doesn’t really garner a lot of attention.

 

Categories
Uncategorized

WSJ: Germany Sells Five-Year Debt at Negative Yield for First Time on Record

Move Reflects Plummeting Borrowing Costs Across Europe

Germany on Wednesday sold five-year government debt at a negative yield for the first time on record, reflecting plunging borrowing costs across the region in the run-up to the European Central Bank’s sovereign-bond-buying program.

The German Finance Agency sold €3.281 billion ($3.72 billion) of bonds maturing in April 2020 at an average yield of minus 0.08%. At a similar deal in January, the yield was 0.05%.

The negative yield means investors are effectively paying the German state for holding its debt. Even so, bond prices—which climb when yields drop—are expected to rise further once the ECB starts its latest round of stimulus measures next month, meaning investors could potentially sell the bonds at a profit.

Categories
Uncategorized

CNBC: $12 Trillion in QE and the Lowest Rates in 5,000 Years

CNBC:  5,000 Year Low

The numbers are daunting if not shocking: $12.3 trillion of money printing, nearly $10 trillion in negative-yielding global bonds, 654 interest rate cuts since Lehman Brothers collapsed in 2008.

Those actions have resulted in global growth in advanced economies that likely won’t eclipse 2 percent this year, inflation levels that remain well below targets and a burgeoning global debt problem that remains unresolved, withstood only through the lowest interest rates the world has seen in 5,000 years.Screen Shot 2016-06-14 at 10.31.07 PM

 

http://www.cnbc.com/2016/06/13/12-trillion-of-qe-and-the-lowest-rates-in-5000-years-for-this.html